The Fed will delay the tapering of its bond buying program in response to the US government shutdown. For emerging markets this means a slower pace of currency depreciation into year-end, and the potential for limited short-term appreciation in markets that may have over-corrected, like Turkey and Indonesia. With currency depreciation slowing, fourth quarter GDP results may surprise slightly to the upside. The dollar-denominated ETFs that track local Turkish and Indonesian stock markets both increased 4% on the news.
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